Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Modeling for Enhanced Air Quality Prediction: Implications for Information Management and Public Health Decision Support Systems

Abstract

Air quality forecasting has significant implications for environmental monitoring, public health, and information management systems. This study proposes three advanced deep learning models: Graph Neural Networks with Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Attention (GNN-DSTA), Multi-Resolution Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks (MRC-RNN), and Variational Autoencoders with Spatio-Temporal Latent Embeddings (VAE-STLE). These models address the challenges of capturing complex spatio-temporal dependencies in environments with sparse data samples.

The GNN-DSTA model introduces a temporal attention mechanism that dynamically captures evolving spatial-temporal dependencies. MRC-RNN combines CNN's spatial pattern recognition with RNN's temporal modeling across multiple spatial resolutions. VAE-STLE provides a probabilistic framework for robust and interpretable forecasting.

Experimental results demonstrate significant improvements in prediction accuracy: GNN-DSTA reduces RMSE by 15-20%, MRC-RNN improves accuracy by 12-15%, and VAE-STLE shows a 10-12% improvement with enhanced uncertainty estimation. These models advance AQI predictions through dynamic attention mechanisms, multi-resolution analysis, and probabilistic forecasting.

Furthermore, this study explores the implications of these advanced predictions for information management and public health decision support systems. We discuss the integration of real-time data, scalability considerations for large-scale deployments, user interface design for effective communication of predictions, and ethical considerations in using AI-driven models for public health decision-making. The proposed approach not only enhances the accuracy and reliability of AQI predictions but also provides a framework for developing more effective and responsive public health interventions and environmental policies.