Annual Prevalence Model of Stunting in Toddlers in Jember Regency, Indonesia

Abstract

KEYWORDS
Stunting, Toddler, Prevalence Model, Harmonization. ABSTRACT:
Introduction: In Jember Regency-Indonesia, the accelerated program for reducing stunting prevalence has been implemented convergently on a multisectoral basis, but no predictive evaluation has been carried out to estimate the success of the program for the coming years.
Objectives: This study aimed to build an annual prevalence model of stunting in toddlers based on the last five years of data.
Methods: This research was a descriptive study based on a report on the acceleration program to reduce stunting prevalence in Jember Regency. The data was analyzed serially to obtain a trend line for stunting prevalence in the last five years, including a linear equation to predict stunting prevalence in the following years.
Results: The results showed that the trend of stunting prevalence in Jember Regency from 2019 to 2023 was decreasing with the linear equation of y = -1.2987x + 14.053. Based on this equation, if there are no changes in implementation, the reduction in stunting prevalence to reach the new target can be realized by the end of 2025.
Conclusions: It is concluded that the reduction in stunting prevalence in Jember Regency is progressing slowly, so it requires harmonization of related multisector collaborative work, and one of the main models of choice is the action research cycle.